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DESERT STORM EXECUTIVE INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY


Filename:25-91
	DESERT STORM
	EXECUTIVE INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY

STILL ON TARGET

WHILE ALL GROUND COMBAT LOSSES CANNOT YET BE CONFIRMED BY NATIONAL 
INTELLIGENCE SOURCES, SEVERAL IRAQI UNITS HAVE CLEARLY SUFFERED 
EQUIPMENT AND LOGISTICS LOSSES AND A DEGRADATION OF COMMUNICATIONS 
CAPABILITY.  THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR UNITS IN SOURTHEASTERN 
KUWAIT AND THE TRI-BORDER AREA.  IN ADDITION, BAGHDAD'S FORCES 
PROBALBY LACK [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(2)   ] DISPOSITIONS AND 
INTENTIONS.  IRAQ'S GROUND FORCES IN THE KTO CONTINUE MINOR 
REPOSITIONING EFFORTS AND DEFENSIVE MEASURES [   (b)(1) sec 
1.3(a)(2)   ]  DESPITE ATTRITION, ALL IRAQI CORPS REMAIN CAPABLE 
OF CONDUCTING DEFENSIVE AND OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS.  PROBING 
ATTACKS, SUCH AS THOSE CONDUCTED AT THE END OF JANUARY, COULD 
OCCUR IN THE COMING WEEK.

CHEMICAL WEAPONS-RUNNING OUT OF STORAGE

THE S-SHAPED BUNKER LOCATED AT H-3 AIRFIELD AND THE FOUR 
AMMUNITION STORAGE FACILITY HAVE NOW BEEN DESTROYED OR DAMAGED.  
CW STORAGE BUNKDERS CONTINUE TO BE SYSTEMATICALLY ELIMATED, WITH 
10 OF IRAQ'S 22 S-SHAPED BUNKERS NOW OUT OF OPERATION.  EARLIER, 
ON 8 FEBRUAY, SUSPECTED CW MUNITIONS HANDLING WAS OBSERVED AT THE 
SINGLE S-SHAPED BUNKER AT H-3 AIRFIELD, AS WELL AS AT ONE OF THE 
FOUR S-SHAPED BUNKERS AT QAYYARAH WEST AMMUNITIONS DEPOT.  
ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY CANNOT BE CONFIRMED AS CW-RELATED, IT 
SUPPORTS THE ASSESSMENT THAT IRAQ MAY BE DISPERSING ITS CW 
MUNITIONS.

OUTLOOK

SADDAM MILIARY OPTIONS ARE DIMINISHING AS THE ATTRITION OF HIS 
FORCES AND THE NATIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE CONTINUES.  THE REGIME CAN 
BE EXPECTED TO CONCENTRATE STRONGLY ON PSYCHOLOGICAL-POLITICAL 
OPTIONS TO WEAKEN INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(2)  
 ] TO WIN SYMPATHY FOR THE ALLEGED SUFFERING OF THE IRAQI PEOPLE, 
AND TO ENCOURAGE EFFORTS TO OBTAIN A CEASEFIRE.
[   (b)(6)   ]
 



 

 

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