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File: 961031_950719_8cerep15_90.txtCENTAF-REAR DISUM 015 (U) Filename:8cerep15.90 CDSN = LGX227 MCN = 90263/04031 TOR = 902630220 OTTSZYUW RUEKJCS0062 2630220---RUEALGX. ZNY O 200220Z SEP 90 FM JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC INFO RUEALGX/SAFE O 192200Z SEP 90 FM TAC IDHS LANGLEY AFB VA//TACOPS/INO// TO RHHEAAA/TO 93BMW DEPLOYED ANDERSON AFB GQ//IN// AIG 540 AIG 621 AIG 10313 RUCBSAA/FICEURLANT NORFOLK VA//ISSAF// RHDIAAA/CENTAF TAC LANGLEY AFB VA//DOT/INO/INA/XPX// RHCUNER/NE SOCC GRIFFISS AFB NY//IN// RHIUFAA/USCENTAF FWD HQS ELEMENT//IN// RUCBSAA/USLO SACLANT NORFOLK VA//JO2U// RUEBJKA/168AREFS EIELSON AFB AK//DOXI// RULYVTA/COMCARGRU FOUR RUEBJKA/6SRW EIELSON AFB AK//INZ// RUCLEHA/443MAW ALTUS AFB OK//DOI// RUVNSMQ/COMNAVSPECWARGRU ONE DET ELEVEN//N2// RUCKDDA/CG II MEF//G2// RHDIAAA/HQ TAC LANGLEY AFB VA//IG/IO// RUVABKA/179TAG MANSFIELD LAHM APRT OH//DOI// RUVHBHA/151AREFG SALT LAKE CITY IAP UT//DOXI// RHWRATC/HQ ATC RANDOLPH AFB TX//IN// RUEOFFA/HQ ESD HANSCOM AFB MA//IN// RHWIDHA/COMMATVAQWINGPAC WHIDBEY ISLAND WA//33// RUEBBLA/APL JHU LAUREL MD//NTI// RUWJAGA/NAVPGSCOL MONTEREY CA//JJJ// RHFJKWA/TACELRON THREE THREE KEY WEST FL//JJJ/// RUWTFDA/147FIG ELLINGTON ANGB TX//DOXI// RUFTDGA/306SW DEPLOYED//IN// RUCLBVA/2CCGP PATRICK AFB FL//DO// RHDIAAA/48FIS LANGLEY AFB VA//DOI// RUWFVAA/COMFITAEWWING MIRAMAR CA RUWNSPA/COMLATWINGPAC LEMOORE CA RUHJWYA/13AF INTELLIGENCE CLARK AB RP//IN// RUVOAGA/3CCGP TINKER AFB OK//CC// RUWMEFA/60MAW TRAVIS AFB CA//DOI// RUWFVAA/FITRON TWO FOUR RUEOLIA/170AREFG MCGUIRE AFB NJ//DOXI// RUWTFHA/CDRUSASSD FT LEAVENWORTH KS//IASSG-LVW// RHCDMXI/TAWC CAEWIS EGLIN AFB FL//IN/EC// RULYVBA/COMSECONDFLT//N2// RUCIRMA/934TAG MINNEAPOLIS ST PAUL IAP MN//DOI// RUEAUSA/NGB WASHINGTON DC//XOI// RHKAALA/HQ 11AF ELMENDORF AFB AK//IN// RUDWAAH/7AF OSAN AB KOR//IN// RULGSAA/TASK GROUP FOUR PT TWO FWD//IN// RUCVBMW/2BMW BARKSDALE AFB LA//IN// RHFIAAA/15AF MARCH AFB CA//CC//IN// RUHVAAA/3AD HICKAM AFB HI//IN// RUCVNAF/8AF BARKSDALE AFB LA//IN// RHWUDDA/9SRW BEALE AFB CA//IN//INZ// RUDOVDA/20TFW RAF UPPER HEYFORD UK//IN// RUHGJPX/MAG FOUR ZERO//S2// RHWIDHA/ATKRON ONE TWO EIGHT RUVABJA/178TFG SPRINGFIELD ANGB OH//IN// RHDIAAA/1TFW LANGLEY AFB VA//IN// RUWTAJA/926TFG NAS NEW ORLEANS LA//DOI// RUETIAA/NSACSS FT GEORGE G MEADE MD//W07//G64// RHDIAAA/74TCS LANGLEY AFB VA//CC//DOK//LGK RUCJBBA/71TCS MACDILL AFB FL//DOT// RUVRBFA/283CCSQ SAVANNAH IAP GA//DO// RUEAHQA/HQ AFIA WASHINGTON DC//INO//INOO// RUETIAL/HQ AFIA FT GEORGE G MEADE MD//INII// RHWIDHA/TACELRON ONE FOUR ONE//IN// RUEDJHA/FIRSTBN TWO FIVE MAR RUWDGBA/COMCRUDESGRU THREE RHIIMAA/VMA THREE ONE ONE RUFLDNA/34SS ZARAGOZA AB SP//IN// [ b.2. ] RUCIFWA/379BMW WURTSMITH AFB MI//IN// RHCCAAA/416BMW GRIFFISS AFB NY//IN// RHWRMPC/HQ AFMPC RANDOLPH AFB TX//PRC// RUFLPIA/126AREFW DEPLOYED MORON AB SP//DO// RUDLAAA/68AREFW LAJES FLD AZ//DO// RUVNSAA/4300 PROVISIONAL BMW DIEGO GARCIA IO//INZ// RUFLDNA/2BMW ZARAGOZA AB SP//DO//IN// RUVNSAA/DET 1 3AD DIEGO GARCIA IO//CC/IN// RUDLAAA/42BMW DEPLOYED LAJES FLD AZ//IN//DOX// RUHGOWA/CG FOURTH MEB//G2// RUEKJCS/DIA WASHINGTON DC//JSW-1// RUVNSAA/42BMW DEPLOYED DIEGO GARCIA IO//INZ// RUHQADA/6010AERODG WHEELER AFB HI//DOI// RUWJGFA/CG THIRD MAW//G2// RUEDFHA/439MAW WESTOVER AFB MA//DOI// RHFUTIS/7454TIS BOERFINK GE//IN// RULYNTR/USS THEODORE ROOSEVELT RUCUAAA/HQ SAC OFFUTT AFB NE//INC// RUEHAK/USDAO ANKARA TU//ITF// RHDLSRJ/SR JOIC NAPLES IT RUCIEHA/160AREFG RICKENBACKER AFB OH//DOXI// RUVKDVA/3700ABG LACKLAND AFB TX//CXC// RUCIBEA/97BMW EAKER AFB AR//IN// RUFTURA/52TFW SPANGDAHLEM AB GE//CC//IN// BT [ b.2. ] QQQQ SECTION 01 OF 09 [ b.2. ] /*********** THIS IS A COMBINED MESSAGE ************/ SUBJ: CENTAF-REAR DISUM 015 (U) PLEASE NOTE, ANY COMMUNICATION SENT TO CENTAF-REAR/INO MUST ALSO INCLUDE A SECOND PLAIN LANGUAGE ADDRESS LINE OF: TAC IDHS LANGLEY AFB VA//TACOPS/INO//. 1. GENERAL SITUATION: IRAQ CONTINUES TO FEEL THE IMPACT OF UN-SANCTIONED EMBARGO PARTICULARLY ON IRAQI MARKETS. MARKET CONDITIONS, AT LEAST IN BAGHDAD, CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE. THE US EMBASSY, BAGHDAD REPORTS THAT "GRAY MARKET" PRICES FOR STAPLES SUCH AS SUGAR, RICE, BEANS AND POWERED MILK HAVE INCREASED BY 600-1300 PERCENT SINCE THE END OF AUGUST. SOME PRODUCTS, SUCH AS IMPORTED TEAS, LAUNDRY DETERGENT, OLIVE OIL, AND AUTO TIRES, HAVE DISAPPEARED FROM STORE SHELVES. RESTAURANTS HAVE BEGUN TO CLOSE DUE TO SHORTAGES. MOST OF THE RESTAURANTS REMAINING OPEN ARE UNABLE TO SERVE BREAD OR A MAIN DISH AND CAN SERVE ONLY APPETIZERS. IRAQI OFFICIALS ARE PUBLICLY URGING CONSERVATION, AND PASSAGE OF NEW LAWS WITH STIFF PENALTIES FOR HOARDING, MONOPOLIZING, OR WITHHOLDING FROM SALE GOODS AND SERVICES. FOOD SHORTAGES WILL GROW DESPITE THE TRICKLE OF GOODS COMING OVER LAND OR BY AIR. WIDESPREAD SHORTAGES COULD OCCUR BY THE END OF THIS YEAR, AND POPULAR DISSATISFACTION MAY BECOME MORE EVIDENT. MOST IRAQIS APPEAR TO HAVE RALLIED BEHIND SADDAM HUSAYN OUT OF NATIONALISM, BUT ANTI-REGIME SENTIMENT MAY EMERGE AS THE EFFECTS OF SANCTIONS BECOME ACUTE. SADDAM'S POSITION WILL PROBABLY REMAIN SECURE, AT LEAST IN THE NEAR TERM. REPORTS WERE RECEIVED OF A POSSIBLE OUTBREAK OF TYPHOID AMONG TROOPS FROM THE MEDINAH REPUBLICAN GUARD DIVISION. ALTHOUGH UNCONFIRMED, IT COULD INDICATE THAT IRAQI LOGISTICS PROBLEMS ARE RESULTING IN CONTAMINATED FOOD AND WATER BEING DISTRIBUTED. AS TRAINED MEDICAL PERSONNEL (FOREIGN) CONTINUE TO ESCAPE BOTH IRAQ AND KUWAIT, WE COULD EXPECT MORE SERIOUS HEALTH PROBLEMS TO OCCUR AMONG THE IRAQI MILITARY AND THE POPULATION IN GENERAL. [ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ] 2. GROUND ACTIVITY: THE GROUND SITUATION IS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. IRAQI INFANTRY UNITS INSIDE KUWAIT CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THEIR DEFENSIVE POSITIONS ALONG THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH SAUDI ARABIA AND THE EASTERN COAST. WHILE CURRENT POSTURE IS DEFENSIVE IN NATURE, IRAQI FORCES RETAIN THE CAPABILITY TO INITIATE OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS WITHIN 48 HOURS. ELEVEN DIVISIONS REMAIN COMMITTED WITHIN KUWAIT WITH AN ADDITIONAL EIGHT DIVISIONS REINFORCING THE KUWAITI THEATER. THREE DIVISIONS REMAIN DEPLOYED ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE IRAN-IRAQ BORDER AND CAN BE ALLOCATED TO SUPPORT THEATER OPERATIONS. A PROBABLE FOURTH CHEMICAL DECONTAMINATION SITE HAS BEEN CONSTRUCTED 25 KM NW OF AL BASRAH AT 30-44N 047-35E SINCE 12 SEPTEMBER. THIS SITE IS SIMILAR TO THE ONE IDENTIFIED EARLIER THIS MONTH AT SAFWAN AIRFIELD. [ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ] 3. [ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ] BT #0070 NNNN
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