CENTAF WEATHER STAFF WEATHER OFFICER BULLETIN #45 J0AF 302

File: aacbp_01.txt
Page: 01
Total Pages: 4
SUBJECT: CENTAF WEATHER STAFF WEATHER OFFICER BULLETIN #45 J0AF 302
  U N C L A S
   ATTENTION: THE TFU HAS A NEW PHONE, [(b)(2)] ,UNSECURE). PLEASE
   ROUTE ALL MESSAGE TRAFFIC DESTINED FOR THE TFU TO RHIUFZA/CENTAF
    WEATHER. THANK YOU.
    SWO BULLETIN 45
    FOXX31 XXXX 220000
    KING JOAF #302                  VALID: 22/00002 TO 23/0000Z JAN 91
    1. {U) PART A: SYNOPTIC SITUATION:
   THE LAWC FROM 12Z CHOWS A VERY DIFFUSE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. A STG HIGH
   PRESSURE (> 1036MB) RIDGES IN FROM SRN EUROPE TO OVR GREECE. TROFING
   XTNDS W FROM THE LOW {1015MB) AT 327N/29E. A QUASI-STNRY FRONT LIES
   E FROM THE LOW OVR SRN TURKEY TO A WAVE AT 37N/41E AND AGAIN STNRY TO
   THE SRN CASPIAN SEA WHERE DUE TO SPARCE DATA THIS BNDRY DEFINITION IS
   LOST. TROFING ALSO XTNDS SERLY FROM THE MED LOW TO OVR JORDAN. A LOW
   (1015 MB) IS AT 26N/41E W/ TROFING S TO RED SEA TROF AND E TO THE
   FILLING LOW AT 27N/53E. HIGH PRESS DOMINATES S OF CON. THE UPPER AIR
   PATTERN SHOWS THE LONG WV TROF FROM THE NRN CASPIAN SEA TO A 500 MB
   CLSD LOW E OF GREECE TO THE ERN IBERIAN PENINSULA. THE PFJ IS WKLY
   REPRESENTED ZONALLY ACROSS THE SRN MED AND THEN JOINS FORCES W/
   THE STJ OVR THE RED SEA WHERE THE SHARED ENERGY AREA TURNS ENE OVR
   THE AOR. ADVECTION IS WK IN THIS WEAKENING FLOW ALOFT. THE SINGLE
   DETECTED SHRT TV WAS ANALYZED IN THE NCNTRL AOR WHICH KICKED OFF SOME
   TSTMS W/ PASSAGE. THE RIDGE AXIS STILL LIES OVR IRAN BUT HAS
   WEAKENED AND BROADENED IN THE PAST 12 HRS. FOR THIS 1ST PERIOD1 W/
   THE ABSENCE OF SHRT WVS AND NOTICEABLE ADVECTION ALOFT, OR DIVERGENCE
   THE ACAS/CICS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE NRN AOR. THE FRNT IN TURKEY WILL
   DRIFT S ACROSS NRN SYRIA AND XTRM NRN IRAQ BRINGING IN ACAS CIGS AND
   RASH. THE RED SEA TROF WIL ALSO DRIFT S AND OVR CNTRL SA AS THE RED
   SEA CONVERGENCE ZONE SHIFTS S. HIGH PRESS STRENGTHENS IN FROM THE WNW
   AND SE.
   2. (U) PART B: SEA SURFACE DATA VT: 22/12Z
                  POINT 1      POINT 2      POINT 3
                 26N/52E)     (22N/64E)    (l8N/40E)
       TEMP (C)        26        25           27
       WAVE DIR       030        030          130
     PERIOD SEC       4 .         4            4
      HEIGHT FT         3         3            4
   3. (U) PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION:
   THE DMSP THERMAL SHOT FROM 19Z CONTINUES TO SHOW A DECREASE IN THE
   MID TO UPPER LVL CLDS ALONG THE STJ IN THE NRN AOR. THE SHRT WVS THAT 
   WERE OVR AFRICA CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ALONG THE STJ BUT ARE WEAKENING
   AND THERE IS LITTLE MOISTURE NOW ASSOC W/ IT NOW. A SHRT WV IS
   CONTINUING TO MOVE ACROSS THE NRN ARABIAN GULF AND IS PRODUCING ISOLD
   TSTMS MT 350 IN IRAN. A BEN SC DECK WAS EVIDENT ALONG NERN SA AND
   KUWAIT ALONG THE FOLLOWING POINTS: 29N/49E' 27N/48E, 27N/44E,
   29N/42E. FOG/ST CAN BE SEEN ALONG NERN SAUDI THE XTNT UNKN' BUT
   VERIFIED BY OBS IN THAT AREA. BEN SC/CU STILL PERSISTS IN THE ERN
   MED ASSOC W/ THE LOW AND TROF. SCT TO BKN PATCHES OF AC CONTINUE TO
  
                .