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File: 073096_jun_decls4_0008.txt
Subject: INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE 7TH ENG BDE 18 FEB 91
Box ID: BX000249
Document Number: 3
Folder Title: ENGR PLAN INTEL
Folder Seq #: 84
Unit: VII CORPS
Parent Organzation: ARCENT
UNCLASSIFIED
h. Delay by conducting order:y withdrawals successive defensive
..nez.
'O" Lus:oys:
@c
a. Intelligence. Ava.aLb'o Lgence concer.4.ra,,.id i.-. 3 :uain
@reAL: 1) the ':)reac@. area, 2, .'it? RG--C ass@:.-.b'y a,.eae .o te north
if @uwait and 3) "@e a:,,ror divisions aoilg ..le
7" -,ir.
C@-ps position
O@ aboll 5 -Lteng
abo,.it 100-'2, k:i-- north by This 4ap could g:,eal.:y change V7:
tl,..Ce la-O:e.
Weathe- and '.e:@rain, ov@ra:l favors neither offense -ior defense.
e,@ counterbalance each other enough that neither side has significant
in these areas.
c. Probable E.-te--iy Courses of Action.
(1) Attack. Very Lnl@-kely. The 'Iraqi ar.-.ed forces have the
:apa.b,'.:ity to launch a '-3 'div4s-.ona' attack into the V.': (1@IS) Corps sector.
7'-:3 is highly unlikely as they do not iave he capability to either reinforce
zu3tain this type of operation.
(2) Defend and reinforce. ?o3stb'e but unlikely. This would force
t-e :raqis to move reinforcements into front line defensive positions, therby
@pening units to air interdiction. as well as forcing them to move forces
constantly around the FLOT to block A'Iied penetrations. in the long run,
xhaust their reserves as well as their already inadequate logistic
zyz'.e-...
(3) Delay/Defend and Alltrit. ','Ost '.'key. iraq4s are masters of
-Af@n3-ve warfare. They had six years of hard defensive warfare against :ran
-.-nd @'-ey were ba2ical'y able to hold own not by delea'in Iranian
9
,er.et,,a@.ions ou. by exhausting them. until +iey lost ,'.ier offensive
:-aDab--'ity. raq knows they cannot defeat us in open 'oatt:e so another way
.,.az to be found -.-.-'-A-eby they can either defeat -3 or settle fo- a
a @l. Ti6her way, :raq m-.ist reduce our forces to w-e.-e t@o no 'oide" have an
zf!enzive capabil4 i-,, and @her. capita:ize on our condition. rliere is enough
evidence to zliow t.@.at !raq liaz e-.np:ac-z4 about five defensive :ines between the
--order and our ob4ecl.-ve: Repub:icar: GL:a:@d -oi-eez
back ',-. ai :,oil successive defenses, @raq can, to a
:@r4a-r. degree. cc,.-.t-o: @'-e 3f 1,e e goa: being Io aoln-l a
e;"h defensive :!,i'e'. 3y 't@.@ '.;,.i,.e we "each the'Basr'-ai
.->-n percentage a. c
area, : be:ieve :-aq is going to try ard !,e--'uce us lo about 65 %. At this
,:o have become a 4e'ensive force. This w4:: either force a sta:e.,iale
.in rich case :r.-q has o- .-.e w4 attempts lo
can 4-':;zt unacceptable czzua:ty
ve!3 prior to this slade, he wi" probab:y task hi; RGZ-C heavy forces to
UNCLASSIFIED
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Document 9 f:/Week-24/BX000249/ENGR PLAN INTEL/intelligence estimate 7th eng bde 18 feb 91:07269614230834
Control Fields 17
File Room = jun96_declassified
File Cabinet = Week-24
Box ID = BX000249
Unit = VII CORPS
Parent Organization = ARCENT
Folder Title = ENGR PLAN INTEL
Folder Seq # = 84
Subject = INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE 7TH ENG BDE 18 FEB 91
Document Seq # = 34
Document Date =
Scan Date = 24-JUN-1996
Queued for Declassification = 01-JAN-1980
Short Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Long Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Permanent Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Non-Health Related Document = 01-JAN-1980
Declassified = 26-JUL-1996