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File: 073096_jun_decls4_0004.txt
Subject: INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE 7TH ENG BDE 18 FEB 91
Box ID: BX000249
Document Number: 3
Folder Title: ENGR PLAN INTEL
Folder Seq #: 84
Unit: VII CORPS
Parent Organzation: ARCENT
UNCLASSIFIED
have been destroyed :n tie air campaign So far due to wide dizpersa: and
severe degradation of :raq! airfields in souther and eastern Iraq. These
aL4-@ralt (FITT@-i. FLOC-GER, & FROC-FOO,71 St,-:! retair. the ca.-ab;lity to inflict
,eavy damage to VI! Copps forces aerosol spra7ing of chemicals. :t is,
possible for Iraq lo mass 50-100 of these CAB aircraft in a :ast ditch effort
-.0 inflict heavy casualties on the c,ance -hat 3-10 of their a:-craft will get
friendly air i-te-diatior.. 'rhey may also use 2-?.!! groups 04 O--O
aircraft to present -aultiple targets to friendly ai:,'forces and tacres2e .he
odds of getting zo- arcraf, to
...0 allied targets. A lack of OC:
capabxlity will also ',4-ider operatio-z by -.'-& TZAF.
(b) :raq! leloa are the -nost serious threa* v.,e !ace from enemy
.AS. The Iraqi inventory still has about 300 attack helos in the in-colntry
:nventory and their use in the Iran-':,aq lo)ar hat shown ther. to 'oe a credible
t areas. 'iotavy wing arcraft preseit
'.Lear. should they attain their arge
nits.
he rost serious threat to maneuver -
(c) The most likely missile threat to VI' (US) Copps is the
basic SCUD-B. Iraq reportedly still has one SCUD Brigade equipped with MAZ
543-T-TLS that may be concealed in southern Iraq and has not yet been used.
Al: SCUDS launched so far have been Iraqi variants with their own modified
launchers The SCUD-3 is r3ost probabl being with!leld until Coalition forces
initiate their ground campaign. It Y:i an'area weapon with a 300 kilometer
range. Due to Its 9@ort range, it is capable of carpying a 1,000 Kg warhead
.o an area target with a CEP of on:y 850 metert. It Is especially effective
against troops/armor in a kill zone, forward 'Log points, C3 nodes, or
artillery concentrations. Iraq has not used any chemical warheads on the AL
ABBAS or AL HUSSEIN -aissiles launched thus far and it must be presumed that
,hey are saving them for the more accurate SCUD-B against !(.CF troop
concentrations.
(4) NBC. The Iraqi military has established an extensive
D-o:cgical and c@e:rica' (CB) .n!iazt-ueture to include research, production,
and storage facilities. The Iraqi'g have experience in incorporating CB !I-es
into both ollens-.-.,e and defensive o,-"ralirnz. They retain t-- capability
-,o deliver CB =un:.ions with aircraft, :C-.'. hei.cople-s. art-l.ery, mortars,
R?Gs, and t@-oug- clandestine i,.eane.
(a) Chemical. The 'food "-.il :Iraq use c.,iemical
mt:n4'.;ons against a coall@io- attack 1: ligh. The rost likely reanz of
delivery are in orde-: sporadic &an-.i:lery f;res, reassed :,a p fire-;,
and --.ines. The :raqis have the
:ap;--b:!!',y Lo deliver either perzzz-.in' nerve --.,id
-.Z..-n4s wit@ mos. of these weapons zyze:,is. Liost likely agent LO be used
:4tl.,St stacking Qja'.,,,.Lon fo-'C'@3 are b:lsl@en agents. s assessed t'
..a-, nerve age.-.,. stocks are :-vriz,.able an(! wl:. @oe @otaL:.y
-: :;;:. :4 is also assessed that ',raqs b,,.ster agent stocks are also
ler'zhable, but no, as -.iuch as the nerve agent stocks. There Is no estimated
alto of when these stocks jay @ @.'o'tally deteriorated. !! the 'IGFC forces
=ake a couater attack, ron-persiste@, nerve (03) will probably be used as part
-ere prepatory fires.
a f t.
UNCLASSIFIED
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Document 9 f:/Week-24/BX000249/ENGR PLAN INTEL/intelligence estimate 7th eng bde 18 feb 91:07269614230834
Control Fields 17
File Room = jun96_declassified
File Cabinet = Week-24
Box ID = BX000249
Unit = VII CORPS
Parent Organization = ARCENT
Folder Title = ENGR PLAN INTEL
Folder Seq # = 84
Subject = INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE 7TH ENG BDE 18 FEB 91
Document Seq # = 34
Document Date =
Scan Date = 24-JUN-1996
Queued for Declassification = 01-JAN-1980
Short Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Long Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Permanent Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Non-Health Related Document = 01-JAN-1980
Declassified = 26-JUL-1996